Author(s): Cristian CIUPERCĂ, Ella Magdalena CIUPERCĂ
Publication name: Romanian Intelligence Studies Review
Publisher name: Mihai Viteazul National Intelligence Academy
Publication type: Journal article
Publication date: June 30, 2016
Pagination:
Issue/ Volume: 15/2016
DOI:
Abstract
While analysts are trying hard to minimize biases and errors, reality
shows that many analytical products and forecasts made are not accurate. To
understand some of the reasons that can explain analysis biases, we conducted
a sociological survey having as our objectives identifying the extent to which
different mental models are used in intelligence analysis, reviewing the
associated issues that can occur in the process and assessing the impact they
have on the quality of forecasts.
Keywords: intelligence analysis, mental model, research, information.
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