WHERE TO TOMORROW IN A BETTER INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS – FUTURES STUDIES AS A FACILITATOR

Author(s): Iuliana UDROIU
Publication name: Romanian Intelligence Studies Review
Publisher name: Mihai Viteazul National Intelligence Academy
Publication type: Journal article
Publication date: June 30, 2015
Pagination:
Issue/ Volume: 13/2015
DOI:

Abstract:
We need better predictive intelligence analysis. This statement has driven
pundits and practitioners to find better ways to provide anticipative knowledge about
future vulnerabilities, threats, and risks, but also about windows of opportunity to
promote one countrie’s national interests.
In this collective effort, futurists have managed to make a difference proposing
vision, solutions, methods, and products in order to facilitate the making of better
intelligence analysis.
But futures studies are not easy to study and futurists are not always right. They
come with different names, different methodologies, complex argumentation and
multiple plausible alternatives for better decision making processes. Either way, they
provide a framework for creatively and proactively exploring the possibilities and
working toward a safer future.
Keywords: intelligence, analysis, future, predictive, decision.

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